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26 August 2010 @ 09:20 am
Guess the Graph #1  
In the style of onigame's occasional web content, although at much lower difficulty, here is an easy graph to evaluate.

 
 
 
( 11 comments — Leave a comment )
MellowMelonMellowMelon [wordpress.com] on August 26th, 2010 04:30 pm (UTC)
I'm guessing you drew the line at the top 10 to try to illustrate the approximate difficulty of the test for most contestants? I can't see any other reason to put it there specifically.
motrismotris on August 26th, 2010 04:31 pm (UTC)
The line is not a top 10 line, but is a reasonable line for the data I'm using.
MellowMelonMellowMelon [wordpress.com] on August 26th, 2010 04:57 pm (UTC)
Average of the top 25 scores perhaps?
motrismotris on August 26th, 2010 04:59 pm (UTC)
Specifically the top 25 US scores. This is the graph of "prize winners" (with my trend line).
affpuzz on August 26th, 2010 05:04 pm (UTC)
Yep. He could've made it even more impressive by taking himself out of the average...

I will say that after seeing the results, I'm kind of annoyed I didn't try Groundhog Day or Rectangle Maze... Oh well.
TH: pencilrpipuzzleguy on August 26th, 2010 06:46 pm (UTC)
One digit cost me eight places. For those of you keeping score at home, I've now made an entry error in seven of the eight years I've competed. Kill me.
motrismotris on August 26th, 2010 06:57 pm (UTC)
I meanwhile have maintained my streak of being clean modulo my most common error -- "why did you do the counting puzzle!" -- as in -5 for the quadrilaterals in 2004, -5 for the L shape in 2005, and -5 for the triangles in 2007. Double checking answer entries (and counting internal square say in the Corral) persist as a good USPC strategy. I just need to learn how to check my work at a WPC better.
(Anonymous) on August 26th, 2010 09:11 pm (UTC)
Yeah, my counting error dropped me out of the top 25. I'd have been 17th without that extra white square in my corral, and now I'm part of that big tie at 28th. Still, that's the first time I've cracked the top 50 I think.

Other than the counting error, this is probably the first year I don't have major regrets about strategy. I could have done both the constant sum and criss cross in the time it took me to do the hex masyu and squeezed 10 more points out, but otherwise don't think I could have gotten better than 160 without just flat out upping my game a lot.

Congratulations to those of you in the rarefied air up around the top 10.

- Jack
Teesside Snog Monster: puzzlejiggery_pokery on August 26th, 2010 07:22 pm (UTC)
Congratulations on your massively dominant victory! :-)
(Anonymous) on August 26th, 2010 09:15 pm (UTC)
Yes, congratulations on another year of dominance in the USPC Thomas. I'm wondering how long it will be before you become world champion now, with performances like this. Congrats to MellowMelon as well--it should be interesting to have some new blood on the US team.

One thing I was curious about is why Wei-Hwa was exempt from the USPC this year, when he had to compete for a spot in previous years. Did he help test the puzzles or arrange the test,or something along those lines?
motrismotris on August 26th, 2010 09:19 pm (UTC)
Exemptions are always based on last year's WPC results. He was in the top N that made the playoffs, and Roger and Zack weren't. In other years this order has been different so others were exempt and he wasn't. I'd not read a lot into his results this year - except perhaps being exempt didn't inspire his best focus - but he should be a likely top 10 contender in Warsaw.

There actually should have been two exemptions this year (me included) but I was very unclear about my fall schedule and thought I might need to sit out so I agreed to give up my spot and then played under my own contingency "win and go, something else and stay home". While its very difficult for me to find time for the WPC this year, its hard to say the US team would do as well if I stayed home. My challenge is not having to pull 2+ all-nighters before I leave to finish up work and other things as I did before Antalya. The USPC shows my results when I'm fresh; the WPC - particularly day 2 - shows how error prone I get when I am not. The travel and sleeplessness really affects my performance in ways that I still need to figure out how to deal with, particularly sleeping in unfamiliar and generally uncomfortable beds.

I have my own opinion on whether "exemptions" are pertinent to the process, but it ensures some team consistency. I might agree with "Top 5" but then a year like 2006 would still have exempted 3 US team spots. I'm glad to see a new rising star on the team and (minus his own errors) MellowMelon would easily have been second. Experience will make him a force to be reckoned with at the WPC and here.

Edited at 2010-08-26 09:27 pm (UTC)
( 11 comments — Leave a comment )